Monthly Archives: October 2011

Brave New World


The fruits of Østupid’s interference in the Middle East might already be ripening. The subject matter here is not Libya, but it is Tunisia. As you should be aware Tunisia held elections over last weekend, and the party with the biggest percentage of votes was Ennhada which is loosely associated with Muslim Brotherhood. The front man, who is most likely to end up as President is a man who was in the UK in exile until he returned to Tunisia. He has been showing a moderate face to the world. He claims that Ennhada is moderate and that they will encompass the many reforms already in place (such as allowing women to vote). The alternative in Tunisia is a centre-left or probably extreme left wing group.

I do not doubt that Zine Ben Ali had to go  because his government was corrupt and the people of Tunisia were suffering in similar ways to the people in Libya. In other words people were imprisoned on the slightest of pretexts. I can argue the same against Hosni Muburak, that the Egyptians found themselves in a similar position.

What all three countries have in common happens to be that the dictator in charge would not allow the people representation in a democratic way, and that they had forbidden political parties. Keep this in mind please – if Ennhada, or Muslim Brotherhood had been allowed to form their political party, over time people would probably have stopped supporting them as soon as they realised that they were giving up freedoms. The Libya LIFG faced the same difficulties as Muslim Brotherhood and Ennhada.

To our western minds it is difficult to comprehend why the people who voted for these representatives have done so, but that is because we do not totally understand what makes them tick. Some of the media stories immediately after the election might give some clue as to why Ennhada won so much of the vote. It was identification with the people because of the struggles of fighting against a corrupt regime. This is certainly true of Tunisia. Other than that the only other explanation is the fact that there has been a rise in fundamentalism within the Islamic countries, and the identification with Ennhada is a part of that fundamentalism. Even so, within Ennhada there are fundamentalists as well as moderates.

However, the warning bells are ringing about one of the Ennahada leaders, and he seems to be a man who is good with the taqiyyah. You can read about him in a post at Big Peace.

The interference by Østupid in Tunisia and Egypt was unwarranted. I keeps saying that Libya is different, and it is because the Libyan people in Benghazi asked for help in their struggle against their hated late dictator. Neither in Tunisia or in Egypt did the people face having bombs from aircraft raining down upon them, let alone Scud missiles, and the other forms of missiles that were used during the civil war. Only in Syria and in Libya have there been those snipers who have taken pot shots and killed hundreds who were protesting (and some were not even involved in protesting)… so yes there are big differences between them.

Libya is also different because, despite the screams coming from some very ill-informed commentators, Libya always had Sharia Law implemented. The system of law itself in Libya was two-pronged, using Italian and French codes for commercial purposes as well as Sharia for “domestic” purposes. When Mr. Jalil spoke about Sharia underpinning the Constitution he was saying nothing more than was necessary to instil confidence in the hardline Islamists who might have been wanting something else again. The reports I read indicated that he spoke only to the subject of interest rates and allowing polygamy which is not allowed in Libya at the moment. In other words it would be a relaxation of the present laws, not a hardening of them that was indicated.

What the ill-informed commentators do not comprehend is the actual history of Libya. When Idris became leader and was installed as king in Libya, after they won their fight to be free of Italy, Sharia underpinned the Constitution that was put in place. Under Gadhafi this did not change, but Gadhafi failed to introduce some reforms that were thought to be necessary, and he made up some of his own rules.

Libya is also different because Gadhafi had turned the country into a Marxist “paradise”. He even took businesses and private property away from the wealthy and gave those businesses to others (his cronies), and of course his cronies became very wealthy off the backs of the people of Libya. In an economy such as Libya’s it will be hard to get rid of many aspects of the Marxism that was put in place: free hospital and medical care, free dental, free education, free water and electricity. Yet the people have gained a bigger freedom – the right to breathe and talk without ending up being tortured in prison.

Because of that Western interference the Middle East is now less stable, and it is not Libya that is the cause of that instability, at this point in time. It is Tunisia and it is Egypt. There is a very real danger that either country can lurch towards a new fundamentalism, and there is an equal danger that these countries could end up swinging hard left, meaning that they could swing towards Russia and China.

In Libya the big losers were Russia, China, the African League and Iran. These were the backers of Gadhafi and they are the losers because of their attitudes. Russia and China played a merry little game in the UN, condemning NATO based upon the taqiyya of Gadhafi. The alleged deaths as a result of NATO bombing was never true, even though some people certainly died.  The winners are those who backed the Libyan people: France, the UK, Canada, and to a lesser extent the USA. Germany is amongst the losers, but Turkey, because of the diplomatic role it played is one of the winners.  I remain full of admiration for the role played by Turkey during some of the worst of what took place, this is despite the fact that I do not like Erdogan.

Whilst Libya as a nation is more settled, there are very high stakes in play in regard to Egypt and Tunisia. Iran wants control via Egypt and I fear that the Muslim Brotherhood could repeat the success of Ennahada in Tunisia. It might depend upon the perception of the people who actually vote to put an assembly in place, but I think that it is something that we need to consider. My biggest fear remains Mr Potato Head, or el-Baradei. He is not out of the picture and so he remains the “one most likely” to want to form an alliance with Iran. He is the man who is well acquainted with taqiyyah, and he is a man not to be trusted.

 

 

No boots on the ground?


Some very interesting details have been revealed about the assistance given to the Libyan revolutionaries during their struggle to oust the tyrant Moammar Gadhafi. Despite what some of you think, the issues surrounding the ouster were always based upon the hatred that ordinary Libyans had towards Gadhafi. The people who started the protests were the relatives of those who had been killed in 1996 at Abu Salim prison. For many years after their loved ones had “disappeared” they were not told the truth.  Even the LIFG was based more upon the ousting of Gadhafi than any other general aims regarding the ummah and the spread of Islam (at least for the men who were the former leaders and founders of the group).

One of the countries that was a big supporter of the Libyan NTC, and was in fact the first to recognize them was QATAR. Now, I need to find out more about Qatar and their aims and alliances because I do not think that everything is on the level. What has now been revealed is that Qatari soldiers did in fact join with the rebels in their struggle against Gadhafi. Everyone kept very quiet about their existence.

This seems to contradict the request that there be no boots on the ground from the NTC. However, I think that the particular request was aimed at Western powers – British, French and NATO countries in general – rather than being aimed at other Arab nations.

On top of this, it has also been revealed that Sudan supplied Misrata and other regions of Libya with weapons to use against Gadhafi. If you remember, the French did a weapons drop in the mountains region of the Berbers. Sudan chose to give the revolutionaries the weapons because Gadhafi had funded those in opposition to the government of Sudan. It is therefore not surprising that it is a case of karma – what goes around, comes around. Gadhafi had funded terrorism in those African nations and it came back to bite him in the butt!!

However, Sudan certainly acted alone because other African nations were in the pay of Gadhafi, especially countries such as Burkina Faso (sp). This brings up another piece of unverified information regarding Saif Gadhafi, as well as other family members who managed to flee across the border into Niger and Algeria. Once again, as I stated all along, Algeria had been hostile to the revolutionaries, and ditto for Niger, which is why I discounted some of the reports floating about regarding the transport of weapons. I still maintain that if weapons did flow across those borders then it was directl from Gadhafi trying to pretend that it was the revolutionaries, and that Chad, Niger and Algeria were backing up the deception on the subject.  However, back to Saif and General Senussi who is still alive. The latest intelligence is that they are attempting to negotiate to give themselves up to the ICC !! 

If the rumor is true, what becomes interesting is the reasons given: according to those sources, Saif and Senussi feel that it would be better to face ICC prosecution (I wonder why!!) than end up in the hands of the NTC. On top of that they have allegedly decided not to cross into either Niger or Algiers because of the money that is being requested by those countries.

Did you grasp that point? It seems that Algiers and Niger allowed the other members of the Gadhafi family to seek refuge because money was exchanged for the seeking of refuge. Why else would they refuse to give them up? Saadi is wanted by Interpol in relation to an investigation of an atrocity in Benghazi (relating to the football stadium). Yet Niger is refusing to give him up? Why? How much money exchanged hands for that asylum?  Ditto for the members of the family who fled to Algiers.

Some of the things that I am relating here are definitely things I describe as underhand. I most definitely want to know more about Qatar and its involvement. I knew that they were heavily involved but not by the supplying of boots on the ground. At least it is better that it was Arab boots.

This is consistent with the way in which Bahrain called in the Saudis to deal with their protesters. It might also point to the direction that Libya will take in the future, or it might even point to the fact that the Arabs are starting to stop relying on western powers and are more prepared to go it alone in other ways.

 

Classic Fail – you just have to read this!!!


The Daily Caller has a piece on the thoughts of King Abdallah of Saudi Arabia.  Now up until 2008 the USA had a good alliance with Saudi Arabia. Despite what you think the Saud family has provided a measure of stability in the region, and what is more the Saudis would have been a reliable ally against Iran (in fact they remain against Iran).

However, thanks to the left leaning and ill-advised Østupid, that person who is alleged to be cerebral (whatever that means because he is most definitely not intelligent), it looks as if King Abdallah is totally p’d off with Østupid. Abdallah was not happy in the slightest at the treatment given to Hosni Muburak, which is in direct contrast with the reactions to Moammar Gadhafi.

Threats in the region of the Middle East really do matter. This is why Saudi Arabia, the UAE and a few other countries actually have a nudge, nudge, wink, wink, say no more, relationship with Israel. It seems that Israel is their means of keeping Iran at bay. It explains why Israel was able to get away with flying to Syria and taking out those nuclear reactors. Thank God they took out those reactors because in Assad’s hands the possibility would be quite dangerous.

The Arab League has turned its attention to Syria. The talks have begun and the first step in the urging of reforms. Even though there are a lot of similarities between the suppression in Libya and Syria, the Syrian people have not asked for outside help at the present time, and even if they did ask, Russia and China remain a stumbling block.  I am not sure if Saudi Arabia is a friend to Russia, and again, if they were to turn in that direction, it would be dangerous for the USA.

I really urge you to read the link that I have provided because this is evidence that Østupid has done a lot of damage with regard to Foreign Policy and that his actions have indeed caused further instability in the region. I certainly believe that the ouster of Muburak was a very bad thing (even though he was a tyrant who repressed his people) because Muburak had been a buffer between Iran and the other Middle East states. I certainly believe that the real thing to worry about in Egypt is any possibility of an alliance with either Russia or Iran.

 

Libya, Tunisia and Egypt – new directions?


I have written a much longer post on one of my other sites concerning this particular subject, and especially because I do think that a large number of people misinterpret the signs regarding each of these countries.  It is important to recognize that there are different forms of Islam represented by Sunni, Shia and their various offshoots. I remain very concerned about the direction of Egypt for a variety of reasons. I am concerned about what might happen next in Libya, but I do not see them forming an alliance with Iran. I am having a harder time analyzing the protest movement in Tunisia, Syria and Yemen for a variety of reasons, and I remain concerned about the possible general direction in each case.  At the heart of my concern is any possibility of an alliance with Iran. Only one country stands out and it is Egypt because I see the Muslim Brotherhood as the most likely to forge links with Iran.

The problem in both Egypt and Tunisia is that parts of the old regime have remained in place. It could be argued that this is also the case in Libya, especially with so many defectors, but I think essentially the ones who defected are good men at heart (with the exception of Moussa Khoussa).  Libya is not the same as Egypt but is probably closer to Tunisia with regard to religious affiliation. Tunisia is the most secular of the three countries from what I have learned about Tunisia. It is a former French colony. On the other hand, Libya is a former Italian colony. When it comes to the form of Islam it seems that the big difference is that the majority in Libya is neither Sunni nor Shia. The majority follow a form of Islam known as Sufi, and an offshoot known as Sanussi (which Gadhafi tried to suppress). The form of Islam in Libya is probably closer to Sunni than it is to Shia and this is due to the influence of Idris’s grandfather as well as the influence of the Sanussi form of Islam.

In Libya there was very little in the way of political structure. The country was made up of 3 regions, Tripolitania and Cyrenacia being the two biggest regions and also rivals of each other. This is a critical point because Idris had come from the Cyrenacia (sp) region, with Benghazi being the dominant city, and it was the eastern states of Libya that had wanted to throw off the yoke of the Itanlian colonial masters, and it was the eastern states who were the allies of the French and the British during the Second World War. The western states, with Tripoli as their capital were happy with the status quo, and they had supported the Fascists during the second world war. Idris had remained an ally of the British and the French and supported the British during the Suez canal crisis. This support would give rise to Gadhafi, as a young army officer, who thought that Nasser the Marxist was one real cool dude, gaining control via a coup when Idris had left the country to get some medical attention. The rest is history.

What these three countries have in common is the degree of suppression that the people endured. We in the West do not seem to have any real concept of the level of the suppression that was endured by the peoples of each of these countries. Hosni Muburrak was probably the least repressive of the three, but there are plenty of stories of people ending up in prison for things such as being dissidents and blogging about their anti-government ideas. In each country political parties were not allowed to be formed. Probably Gadhafi was the most vocal on the subject because he did not believe in any form of democracy whilst he paid lip service to the idea. In Libya there were regional committees but the idea was to keep these tribes apart, not to allow any form of cohesion.

Some critics of the Libyan revolution have consistently pointed out that Gadhafi provided cohesion of some sort that kept the tribal rivalries under control. However, I dispute the argument on the grounds that up until this bloody and savage revolution took place the people had not means of making contact with each other. They proved that they could form an alliance for the good of Libya to overthrow a most hated dictatorship. What we do not know, however, is what might lie ahead when it comes to forming government.

The current Libyan leadership is not aligned to Iran. In fact Iran was secretly supplying Gadhafi with weapons, even though Iran also gave medical aid to Benghazi at the height of the conflict. The current leadership is also not allied to Russia or China. In fact Russia and China have been the most vocal critics of the revolution, and its savage and bloody ending.  During the Gadhafi years, Libya was allied to the worst of the Marxist nations – Russia, South Africa, China, Venezuela and Cuba. In fact Libya was a Marxist nation. The people were given free education, free electricity and water, as well as free medicine. Of course they were paid very little out of the vast wealth that had flowed into Libya due to its oil.

The losers in the Libyan conflict seem to be Russia and China. They backed the wrong horse. The Russian and Chinese leadership must be fuming because of the demise of their ally. I must express a cautionary note here: until Saif Gadhafi has been captured, and the same for General Senussi, there is a real possibility that both Russia and China could do a little bit of mischief to try and cause destabilization. The Gadhafi family are not finished until they are actually wiped out. It sounds harsh to speak like that but it is a reality that we must accept in the long run.

I do think that the majority of the people in Benghazi are sincere in that they are pro-West. What we have to understand is that pro-West does not necessarily mean pro-Israel (but who knows, if they follow the example of Idris they could at least take a more neutral stance on the subject of Israel), neither does it mean that Islam will not be dominant. Libya is an Islamic country and its laws are already based upon Islam. What will be removed from those codes will be laws introduced by Gadhafi. There are some unknowns regarding matters relating to women wearing head covering. Most women in Libya already wear the hijab and a few wear the burqa and niquab. Unless the hardliners gained an upper hand in the country I cannot see attitudes changing all that much in the near future.

The challenge in both Tunisia and Libya is keeping out the hardliners. How can they keep the hardliners at bay? I think that this is a question that will be answered some time in the future.

 

 

Congratulations to Bobby Jindal


The news is that Bobby Jindal was re-elected as Governor of Louisiana getting 66% of the vote. Obviously there will be no run off election!! The Democrat who was his nearest rival got 18% of the vote.

Can anyone tell if the Dhimmicrats are on the nose?

Earthquake in Turkey


This is a big one, measuring 7.2 on the Richter scale. There is some news that at least 20 people have died. The quake struck in Van Province which is close to the Iranian border.

UPDATE: the death toll tally from the earthquake in Turkey has continued to rise. The latest figure that I have seen is 138, and the BBC report expects the toll to go much higher.

Taiwanese view of the Occubaggers


I love the Taiwanese animators. They really have a finger on the pulse. This video is really quite funny, and once you get past the 99% stuff there are some really good political points being made. Please check it out.