Monthly Archives: August 2013

A voice of reason from the man most likely

Australia is in the middle of an election campaign. It has meant the usual attack ads, oh how boring. We have seen Whingeing Wendy 2.0 aka Sour Susie make her appearance, and disappear again. The scare campaign attack ads are now taking over on the television. However, a decision to watch very little in the way of T.V. is always a good idea during an election campaign :). It is a decision that saves a lot of angst :).

Prime Minister Kevin Rudd is an egotistical little man who thinks that the worst government ever should be given another three years to ruin the economy of Australia. We are already in debt to the tune of $300 billion. This sounds like peanuts to Americans but it is huge to Australians. We have suffered the wastage just like the USA has suffered because of Barry Soretoro.

Despite the fact that we are in campaign mode, Kevin has found time to get all excited about the use of chemical weapons in Australia. He wants to commit Australia to something… I just do not know what he wants to commit us to if he should win government (highly unlikely at this stage).

On the other hand, the leader of the Opposition, Tony Abbott, has remained the voice of reason on the subject of Syria. I do in fact believe that Tony is correct in what he is stating and I believe that this should be the attitude that a leader in Australia should take on this matter. At this point in time we still do not know who used the chemical weapons. Also, it is pointless to go on the attack and such an attack has the potential to create a major war in the Middle East. Time to go softly, softly.

Now, you might wonder why I said “the man most likely”.  He did not become a priest even though he entered a Seminary. It simply was not the life for Tony Abbott :).  Nope, that is not the reason. He has 4 daughters, so no, there is nothing most likely about that. He is a good family man, and one who believes in the truest form of social justice (not the leftoid kind of social justice that is simply lip service to those who are poor). Nope that is not it eiher.  The real reason is that all of the polls and the betting are indicating that in a week’s time Australia will get a new government and the man most likely to become Prime Minister is Tony Abbott.

Just like in the USA there are people who think that the betting agencies somehow get it right. Well, I remain uncertain about whether or not betting agencies are a good indication of anything. Yet, Sportsbet, one of the Australian betting agencies has already declared that the Opposition will win the Federal Election and they have paid out on the bets already placed for the win. Interesting.

We also have a variety of polls, and some are better than others when it comes to methodology. Over the past few months I have been critical of some of the major polls when their results seemed like an outlier, and in fact I was correct because in one instance the pollster excluded data from certain States, hence making it look like there had been a swing towards the government, yet when results from those States were given, then a different picture emerged. There are many reasons to be critical of certain pollster, especially Essential Media, yet it has been interesting to note that even in their biased polls, the Opposition has remained firmly in front.

I have spent the best part of a week doodling in regard to the polling information, the election pendulum, etc. etc. and i have also come to some conclusions regarding the outcome of the election.

First of all, it is a given that there will be a swing away from the Rudd government. The size of the national swing is not at all clear. However, in the western suburbs of Sydney the swing could be as high as 10%. After looking at the most likely outcomes, and fiddling with the size of swings in each electorate or each State, I am willing to forecast that after September 7, the Coalition will hold around 100 seats, and the ALP will hold just over 50 seats.  The Green member of the Parliament will not be returned and the ALP will have its only win.

Second, if I do the State by State forecast, then I see that the biggest upsets will be in NSW, followed by Queensland and Victoria. There is a chance that Kevin Rudd the dud will lose his seat of Griffith. It is highly likely that the swing is on there because people are really pissed off with him, especially his refusal to debate his opponent.  In NSW there are some seats that have always been safe for the ALP and they are in danger of falling to the Opposition, with one in danger of falling to the Green Candidate (however the Liberal Party have advised that the Green candidate be placed last) which means the sitting ALP member should be safe in that seat.  If the belwether seat of Eden-Monaro changes hands then the Opposition will win the election.  I am expecting between 6-10 seats to fall in NSW alone. On top of that I am expecting the Victorian seat of Corangamite to change hands. Dobell should go to the Liberal candidate and the same with Robertson. The seats of Lindsay and Greenway are expected to fall as well. The ALP have tried hard to ridicule and trip up Jaymes Diaz but it is not working for them.

Third, we had a series of debates. I refused to watch them. The best outcome, and the one that caused a buzz was when Tony Abbott asked “Does this man ever shut up?”. The media tried to make that an Abbott gaffe but it resonated with the audience who all felt the same way!!  The whole campaign has been a disaster for KRUDD.  The latest in a long line of gaffes has been the Treasury officials making a statement that takes the gloss off claims that there is a $10 billion hole in the Opposition costings – Sweet. The ALP try that one on all the time, but it turns out that the ALP use cash based or government accounting assumption and the Opposition uses accrual accounting assumptions thus the difference in the results.  I do think that is actually scary because it means when the Liberals do take control of the government there is going to be one very big headache as they learn the truth about the debt and all of that spending.

The Trayvon Martin Case, Update 37.3: Near Resolution

Stately McDaniel Manor

Our long, national nightmare is finally over.  Or at least the primary chapters have been written and sent to the printer.  I have no doubt we’ll be hearing about George and Shellie Zimmerman for many years to come.  But for now, Shellie’s legal nightmare is nearly at an end and she has the opportunity to reclaim something of a life.  I wrote about the charge against Shellie, a charge virtually devoid of evidence, in Update 37.2.

Last week, Shellie’s trial date of August 21 was postponed in lieu of a status conference.  The most common reason for such postponements this close to trial is an imminent plea agreement.  We now know that was indeed the case. The Orlando Sentinel reports: 

Shellie Zimmerman, the wife of acquitted murder suspect George Zimmerman, admitted Wednesday that she had committed perjury to help her husband get out of jail and agreed to…

View original post 1,860 more words

A love story

The story itself is not new and I have heard of other couples where the partners die within days of each other. However, this story as told by the children of the couple is a good one and should be repeated.  It is a story about LOVE. It is a story about relationships. Most of all it is a story those indicates what is necessary to make a good marriage last until the end.

What I find so nice about this story is that the couple had known each other since they started school (what you call kindergarten and what I, as a Victorian would call grade Preps). One of the families moved and they lost touch, but they met again thanks to the woman’s brother in law. They were made for each other. Nothing could be more touching than this particular story of love and dedication.

You might think it strange that I would even mention this story, but I think that it is a good one to highlight what is needed to make a family seem less dysfunctional than other families. In this case it is clear that the hard work the pair gave to their marriage paid off.  Contrast that situation to the parents of Traydemark Martin, as well as the parents of James Edwards. Both boys came from a background involving dysfuntional families. The mother of James Edwards, the killer of Christopher Lane, is in jail because of her criminal record. The example that she gave to her son was not very good at all. Traydemark’s parents were divorce, and in fact $ybrina, who is now profiting from the death of her son, did not want him as he was growing up, and then when he returned to her, she threw him out of the house.  What a difference!!

I think I have my answer about out of control Barry

UPDATE: HOT AIR has up a post on the same subject, only this time it is further evidence that my question is the right one :). Basically, a bi-partisan group of 81 Congress critters are sending a letter to Barry Soetoro telling him that he should not be ingulging in any action without seeking approval from Congress. The basis for this demand is the War Powers Resolution 1973.

The point is this: if Barry the Indonesian citizen decides to take action without consulting Congress, then this will be the second time that he has flouted the War Powers Resolution 1973. The Congress is willing to listen and to approve the action. It is more likely than less likely that he has the numbers in Congress to allow a limited action.  If he does not go to Congress to seek approval then he is out on a limb.

Also, keep in mind that President Bush (the natural born American citizen) went to Congress prior to taking any action in either Afghanistan or Iraq.  He had the approval of both House of Representative and the Senate to go into Iraq.

Now consider the difference in attitude here, everything that GWB did was approved. The U.N. had a resolution regarding Iraq relating to the use of chemical weapons. The demand and agreement was that Saddam Hussein was to destroy the weapons and allow the weapons inspectors in to ensure that this had taken place. Saddam Hussein decided to play footsies, and he lied about his cache of weapons. (Gadhafi did the same thing, he did not destroy the weapons, including chemical weapons as promised).

With regard to Syria, it seems that Barry Soetoro is determined to flout both the U.N. Security Council, as well as the U.S. Congress. It is not a good look at all.

Daily Caller has an interesting post regarding the intentions of Barry Soetoro with regard to Syria.

If I am reading the report correctly, Barry does not intend going to Congress before “calling the shots” – that is a bad move Barry.

However, even more disturbing than this prick’s disregard for the Congress is his growing disregard for the United Nations.

I know how you feel about the UN and their interference in our sovreignity. Yes, it affects my country as much as it affects yours. However, sometimes the U.N. gets it right and it has held back on the whole Syria question.

We do know for certain that chemical weapons were used in Syria. More than 300 people died and thousands were injured from the attack. We know this information because it comes from the credible source of Doctors Without Borders, who have reported that they have seen victims with neuromuscular toxicity.

What we do not know is who was responsible for the attack. I have seen one report that suggests that Maher Assad’s unit was responsible for the attack. The unit is hiding in the mountains overlooking Damascus. The canisters that contained the chemicals appeared to drop from the air. This is a very possible explanation.

You might disagree but there is some other evidence that points to Assad being behind the attack. The first piece of evidence is once again the way in which Assad refused access to the site, closing Syria’s borders to the U.N. but now he has relented only because the Iranian President urged him to le the U.N. teams in to investigate.  A second piece of evidence is the lone shooting at the U.N. team that had arrived to investigate the incident. Now that could have been a set up to try and lend credence to the notion that the Opposition forces were responsible for the attack.

On the other side of the coin, there is the evidence that Opposition forces did capture an outpost where there were chemical weapons being stored. Russia and Iran are blaming the Opposition forces for the attack, but that is not a surprise to me. On the other hand, Israel has produced evidence that Assad’s forces were involved. Their evidence comes from intercepted messages.

Either way, Barry should not do anything without going to the U.N. first. President George Bush did not unilaterally go into Iraq that second time. He had warned Iraq about their weapons, and he had as support a U.N. resolution. He had regard to the United Nations Security Council. However, Barry is behaving like he is above such things.

This video is direct and to the point

Greg gets it. He is eloquent and makes the points that I want to make about the murder of Australian man Chris Lane.

Greg mentions what the rest of the media will not mention, “the knockout game”.

Greg went one step further and he has made the connection that I wanted to make, that there is a link to the death of Traydemark Martin and the just verdict relating to the trial of George Zimmerman for that shooting in self-defense. Greg mentioned what the Oklahoma police will not mention – that the shooter hates whites and went after “woodpeckers” after the Zimmerman trial verdict.

It is refreshing to know that some people do get that there is a connection. This leaves me to continue to state that Al Sharpton, Jessie Jackson, Ben Jealous, NastyNat and $ybrina Fulton have blood on their hands as they continue to stir up unnecessary racial hatred, when the truth is Traydemark was a thug who was in the act of attempting to kill a man when he was killed instead.

Ms. Fannie Gumbinger Was 99 Years Old…

sick, sick, sick

A serious question

It looks like the dithering POTUS is getting ready to make a once a year decision, which is possibly some kind of action against Syria’s Assad.

Assad has delivered a warning to the United States and at the same time continues to blame the Opposition forces for the chemical weapons drop.

The last time Barry made a decision, and then attempted to back out of the consequences of that decision, NATO forces participated in enforcing a no-fly zone in Libya.

During that last effort, Barry should have gone to the Congress before making any concrete decision, but he failed to do the right thing. I am aware that many saw this as almost a treasonable act. First of all, I do not think that decision was against your Constitution, BUT I do think that he was wrong because he did not go to the Congress to get permission or funding for that action.

My question is: how do you think the Congress might act this time if Barry decides to go it alone again and not involve them in the decision-making process? Do you think that such non-action might in fact provide an impetus for the Congress who want to bring about articles of impeachment?